how many maga would change their trump vote

June 27, 2026

Most recent polling suggests that only a very small slice of MAGA/Trump voters say they would change their Trump vote, but signs of softening support are starting to show around the edges.

How many MAGA would change their Trump vote?

The key number everyone’s quoting

A widely discussed survey highlighted by CNN analyst Harry Enten found that among people who voted for Trump in the 2024 election, only about 2% said they would vote for a different candidate if they could do it over again, and roughly 1% said they would prefer not to vote at all. That means under 5% in total expressed any interest in changing or withdrawing their Trump vote, while the overwhelming majority said they’d stick with their original choice.

A separate ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos survey from 2025 found that 6% of Trump voters said they regretted their vote, compared with only about 2% reporting regret at a similar point in his first term, suggesting regret has grown but still remains relatively limited inside his base.

So if you’re asking “how many MAGA would change their Trump vote,” current polling points to a small minority—somewhere in the low single digits—openly saying they’d switch or sit out, with over 9 in 10 insisting they’d vote the same way again.

What polls say about MAGA intensity now

Even though only a small share say they’d switch their vote, there are clear signs that enthusiasm is slipping.

One major poll found that only 21% of Americans now say they “strongly” support Trump’s presidency, while 44% say they strongly disapprove.

Among MAGA-identified Republicans , strong approval is still very high at about 70% , but that’s down from 78% earlier in the year—an 8‑point drop in strong support inside his own movement.

Another large national study reported that the share of Republicans and Republican-leaners who support “all or most” of Trump’s policies fell from 67% to 56% over one year, with that decline coming inside the GOP, not from Democrats who were already opposed.

In plain language: Most MAGA voters still back Trump, but fewer are “all‑in” than before, and some are drifting into a more lukewarm or conditional support.

Are MAGA voters actually rethinking things?

Beyond hard numbers, you also see pieces of anecdotal and qualitative evidence:

Focus‑group style research and forum conversations highlight a small but vocal group of “Trump regret” voters—people in swing states or key demographics who say they backed Trump in 2024 but now feel misled or disappointed, sometimes over economic issues, trade policy, or the tone of his second term.

Videos and commentary channels have emerged specifically featuring ex‑MAGA voices explaining why they’re reconsidering or switching sides, though these tend to spotlight individual stories rather than representing a majority trend.

These stories amplify the sense that “cracks” exist in the MAGA coalition, but they still sit on top of polling that shows a durable core of support that is not easily shaken.

Cracks in the base vs. flipping their vote

It’s important to separate two ideas:

Changing the actual vote
- Only roughly 2–6% of Trump/MAGA voters in recent polling say they regret their vote or would choose a different candidate or not vote.

 * That suggests very few MAGA voters are truly ready to cross over or abandon him outright.

Cooling enthusiasm and identity shifts
- Strong approval among MAGA Republicans has dropped several points, and fewer Republicans now say they personally identify with the MAGA label than in earlier surveys.

 * A growing share of Republicans also say GOP lawmakers should **not** automatically support Trump just because he is the president, indicating more willingness to disagree with him inside the party.

So the story right now is less “mass defections” and more “hardcore loyalty softening at the margins,” which still matters in close races but does not equal a large-scale abandonment of Trump.

Quick HTML table snapshot

Here’s a compact view of some of the key numbers people cite when asking “how many MAGA would change their Trump vote”:

html

<table>
  <thead>
    <tr>
      <th>Measure</th>
      <th>Group</th>
      <th>Result</th>
      <th>Timing / Source</th>
    </tr>
  </thead>
  <tbody>
    <tr>
      <td>Would switch to another candidate if revoting</td>
      <td>2024 Trump voters</td>
      <td>2%</td>
      <td>2025 survey highlighted by CNN analyst Harry Enten[web:1]</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td>Would not vote at all if revoting</td>
      <td>2024 Trump voters</td>
      <td>1%</td>
      <td>Same survey as above[web:1]</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td>Regret their Trump vote</td>
      <td>Recent Trump voters</td>
      <td>6% (up from ~2% in first term)</td>
      <td>ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos poll, 2025[web:5]</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td>Strongly support Trump presidency</td>
      <td>All Americans</td>
      <td>21%</td>
      <td>ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos poll, 2025[web:5]</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td>Strongly approve of Trump</td>
      <td>MAGA Republicans</td>
      <td>70% (down from 78%)</td>
      <td>NBC/partner poll, late 2025[web:6][web:10]</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td>Support all/most Trump policies</td>
      <td>Republicans & GOP leaners</td>
      <td>56% (down from 67%)</td>
      <td>Pew Research Center, 2026[web:3][web:7]</td>
    </tr>
  </tbody>
</table>

TL;DR: Right now, only a small minority of MAGA/Trump voters—typically low single digits—say they would actually change their Trump vote, but the intensity of support and identification with MAGA is slipping, which creates slow “cracks” in the base rather than a sudden collapse.

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.