how often does the groundhog see his shadow

Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow most years—roughly about 4 out of 5 times, or a bit over 80% of the time.

Quick Scoop: How often does he see it?

• From 1887 to 2023, records show Phil saw his shadow 107 times and did not see it 20 times, with about 10 years missing data.

• That works out to him seeing his shadow in a little over 80% of recorded appearances.

• Put another way, he sees his shadow about five times as often as he doesn’t, according to historical summaries of his predictions.

• Recent tallies put it at 108 “shadow” calls out of 129 total predictions, or about 84% of the time.

So, if you had to bet on Groundhog Day, the odds are strongly in favor of Phil seeing his shadow and “predicting” six more weeks of winter.

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.