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six nations who will win

France are the clear favourites to win the 2026 Six Nations, but Scotland and Ireland still have a realistic outside shot going into Super Saturday.

Quick Scoop: Who Will Win the Six Nations?

Current state of the table and odds

  • France are still tournament favourites , with most bookmakers and models backing them to take the title if they beat England in Paris on the final weekend.
  • They are level on points with Scotland but have a much better points difference, so a bonus‑point win at home would almost certainly seal the championship.
  • Opta’s prediction model gives France roughly a 49% chance of winning the title, with England around 30% and Ireland about 20%, underlining how strong the French position is overall this year.

What France need

  • If France beat England with a bonus point, they are champions, regardless of other results.
  • Even without a bonus point, a normal win likely keeps them ahead on points difference unless Scotland produce something special in Dublin.
  • Recent coverage describes France as looking to “retain” their title and complete back‑to‑back Six Nations wins, which reflects the general expectation that they finish the job at home.

How Scotland or Ireland could steal it

  • Scotland can still win the Six Nations if they beat Ireland away and France slip up against England (for example, losing or failing to take enough points to protect their points difference).
  • Ireland’s main realistic target on the final day is the Triple Crown against Scotland, but in some scenarios they could sneak into the title picture if they win, France underperform, and points and bonus‑points break their way.
  • Rugby analysis and fan previews generally frame Scotland and Ireland as “nearest challengers,” with both needing help from England to stop France.

Expert and media predictions

  • A major UK bookmaker preview explicitly lists France as favourites for glory ahead of the final weekend and calls them the most likely outright winners.
  • Data‑driven models (like the Opta “supercomputer”) also back France to follow up their 2025 crown with another title in 2026, reflecting form, depth and fixtures.
  • Rugby media “bold predictions” pieces for Super Saturday also lean towards France beating England at home and lifting the trophy again.

Mini verdict (with a bit of speculation)

Putting it together:

  • Most stats models, betting odds and expert columns converge on France to win the 2026 Six Nations , especially with the decisive match in Paris and a strong points cushion.
  • Scotland are the romantic outside pick if they can win in Dublin and England somehow ambush France, while Ireland’s route to the title is narrower and heavily scenario‑dependent.

TL;DR: The smart, numbers‑backed answer to “Six Nations who will win?” for 2026 is: France, with Scotland and Ireland lurking as long‑shot challengers if France stumble on Super Saturday.

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.