what is the chances of scotland going through

Scotland’s chances of going through are extremely low right now — around 0.07% by Opta’s latest estimate, with some reports putting it as low as 0.05%.

What that means

They are still technically alive, but they need a very specific set of results to happen elsewhere, not just their own fate.

What Scotland need

According to the latest reports, Scotland would need multiple other matches to break their way on Saturday night, including results that swing goal difference in their favor.

In plain language

This is basically a miracle-needed situation: possible on paper, but very unlikely in practice.

TL;DR: Scotland can still go through, but the odds are tiny — roughly one in a thousand.