what is the statistics of havinbg a gold hit in a csgo case
A gold hit in a CS:GO/CS2 case is about 0.26% per case , which is roughly 1 in 385 openings. That means the odds are the same for each case, no matter how many you opened before.
Case odds
Typical case rarity odds are:
| Rarity | Chance |
|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% |
| Classified (pink) | 3.2% |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% |
| Gold (knife/gloves) | 0.26% |
What that means
- 1 case : 0.26% chance of gold.
- 100 cases : still not guaranteed; community calculations put the chance of at least one gold at about 23%.
- 267 cases : about a 50% chance of at least one gold.
Simple takeaway
If you want the short answer: about one gold every 385 cases on average.
TL;DR: Golds are rare, the odds per case are about 0.26%, and opening more cases does not change the chance on the next one.