what were the odds usa vs belgium
The pre-match odds for USA vs Belgium moved in the U.S. team’s favor right before kickoff. One report says Kalshi shifted the U.S. advance probability from 50% to 52.9%, while Caesars moved the Americans from -108 to -120, and regulation odds from +164 to +144.
What that means
- The market was basically close to even before the update.
- After the change, the USA became a slight favorite in some markets.
- The move was tied to Folarin Balogun being available again after a suspension reversal.
Quick scoop
If you want the simplest read: the odds were near a coin flip, then tilted a bit toward the USA late.
Context
Several previews published on July 6 also described it as a tight Round of 16 matchup, with sportsbooks and prediction markets adjusting as team news changed.
Bottom line
For “what were the odds,” the best concise answer is: roughly 50/50, then around 53% U.S. advance probability in one market, with U.S. moneyline numbers shortening as betting interest increased.