what will be 10 yrs tips real yield on july 23 2026

The 10-year TIPS real yield was about 2.28% on June 22, 2026 , and 2.29% on June 23, 2026 in the Fed’s daily rates data. I can’t reliably predict the exact yield for July 23, 2026 , but a reasonable way to frame it is that it will likely be near the recent 2.2%–2.3% range unless inflation, Fed expectations, or growth data move sharply.

Quick read

• Recent level: around 2.28%–2.29%.

• That suggests July 23 could plausibly land close to current levels , not far outside that band, absent a major market shock.

• Because TIPS real yields move daily with Treasury markets, any forecast is only a rough estimate.

What would move it

• Stronger economic data can push real yields higher.
• Weaker growth or softer inflation expectations can pull them lower.
• Fed policy expectations and Treasury supply can also matter.

Practical range

A simple market-style estimate would be:

• Base case: around 2.2%–2.4%
• Lower case: near 2.0%–2.2%
• Higher case: above 2.4% if yields back up quickly

Bottom line

If you just want a single-number guess for July 23, 2026 , I’d peg the 10-year TIPS real yield at roughly 2.3%.