what will the price of fuel be in australia when concessions cease?

Fuel prices in Australia are likely to rise by about the size of the temporary excise discount when the concession fully ends. Current reporting suggests the cut has been worth about 26.3 cents per litre, with some estimates putting the jump for an average fill at around $10 to $16 depending on tank size and fuel type.

What that means at the pump

The simplest way to think about it is this: when the concession disappears, you should expect the price per litre to move up by roughly the amount of the discount that is being removed, though not always in one sudden step. Real- world prices can be cushioned or amplified by global oil prices, exchange rates, and how quickly retailers pass changes through.

Typical estimates

• Petrol: around 26.3 cents per litre higher once the relief ends, all else equal.

• A 50-litre tank: roughly $13 more, based on the excise cut alone.

• An average family fill: some reporting puts the increase at about $10 to $16, depending on the vehicle and city.

• Diesel: likely to rise too, with one estimate putting Sydney diesel above $2.10 per litre after the change.

Timing and context

The increase may not show up instantly at every service station, because fuel already in the supply chain can delay the pass-through. Reports also note that market conditions in the Middle East and crude oil prices could offset some of the increase, or make it worse if tensions push oil higher. In other words, the concession ending sets the floor for a rise, but the final bowser price depends on broader market conditions.

Bottom line

If the concessions cease entirely, a practical expectation is about 26 cents per litre more than during the relief period, with a typical tank costing roughly $10 to $16 extra. The exact number will vary by location, fuel grade, and how quickly retailers adjust prices.