when will the cyclone hit perth

Per current forecasts, the cyclone itself is not expected to make a direct landfall on Perth, but its effects will reach the city from Friday, with the worst weather likely over the weekend (Saturday into Sunday).

Timing: When will Perth feel it?

• Rain from the cyclone’s outer bands is expected to reach Perth on Friday , building through the day.

• The strongest impacts for Perth (heavy rain, gusty winds, coastal conditions) are most likely Saturday and into Sunday , as the system tracks down the west coast and/or inland to the north of the city.

• Forecasts suggest around 50 mm of rain on Friday and 50 mm on Saturday for Perth, with further falls possible into Sunday.

Some guidance a few days ago even suggested a possible landfall near or just north of Perth on Sunday , but more recent updates indicate landfall further north (around Denham / Gascoyne–Mid West) with Perth mainly seeing heavy rain and strong winds rather than the cyclone core itself.

What’s actually forecast now?

• The system (Tropical Cyclone Narelle) is currently a severe Category 3–4 cyclone off the northern WA coast and forecast to intensify near Exmouth before turning south.

• Current TV and news forecasts say it should make landfall north of Geraldton (near Denham/Carnarvon region) as a severe system, while Perth avoids a direct hit but still gets significant rain and wind.

• There is still some uncertainty in the exact track; outlets note experts cannot yet say with full confidence how close the core may come to Perth.

Simple timeline (subject to change)

• Today–Thursday: Cyclone intensifying off the WA northwest coast, moving towards Exmouth.

• Friday: First widespread rain reaches Perth from the system.

• Saturday: Likely peak impacts in Perth – heavy rain, strong winds, squally showers; cyclone core still well to the north/west.

• Sunday: Rain and windy conditions likely continue as the system or its remnants move inland and weaken.

Key safety notes

• Follow Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) warnings and local emergency services updates; they have the most up‑to‑date track and timing.

• WA emergency agencies stress having a cyclone/ severe weather plan , knowing where you will shelter, and securing loose items, even in areas that are “only” expecting heavy rain and strong winds.

If you’re in or near Perth, treat this as serious weekend severe-weather, even if the eye never comes close. Check the official forecast frequently because the track can still shift in the next 1–2 days.

TL;DR: Perth should start feeling the cyclone’s weather on Friday , with the worst conditions most likely on Saturday into Sunday , but a direct cyclone hit on the city is currently unlikely and the exact details can still change.

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.