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who is suppossed to win belgium or senegal

Belgium is the favorite to win, with most previews leaning toward a Belgium win by a narrow margin, often 2-1. Senegal is still seen as a live upset threat, so this is not a lock.

Quick read

  • Most likely winner: Belgium.
  • Upset pick: Senegal has some expert support to advance.
  • Common score call: Belgium 2-1 Senegal.

Why Belgium is favored

Belgium shows up as the moneyline favorite in several previews, and one model- based preview puts Belgium around a 50% win probability versus 24% for Senegal. That makes Belgium the safer pick on paper.

Why Senegal can still win

A few analysts are backing Senegal, pointing to the matchup as one of the more unpredictable Round of 32 games. So the short answer is: Belgium is supposed to win, but Senegal is a credible upset pick.

TL;DR

Belgium is the expected winner, but the gap is not huge and Senegal has real upset potential.