Yes, the Colts can still make the playoffs, but their odds are on the low-to- longshot side and they need a strong finish plus some help.

Current playoff odds

Recent projections put the Colts’ playoff chances in roughly the 10–25% range depending on the model and the exact week’s results. One betting-focused projection listed their chance to make the playoffs around 23% in mid- December, reflecting that they are very much alive but clearly underdogs to get in.

Standing in AFC race

Indianapolis has been hovering around the edge of the AFC field, often sitting in the No. 7–8 range where only seven teams qualify. At times they held a wild-card spot, but losses to fellow contenders like Seattle and Jacksonville have pushed them down to third in the AFC South and outside the bracket if the season ended at that moment.

What they need to happen

Analyses of the playoff simulators show that winning out (taking all remaining games) would give the Colts around a 97% chance to reach the postseason and even a solid shot at hosting a playoff game. However, dropping even one key divisional game to the Jaguars or Texans can slash those odds closer to the low-teens, making their margin for error extremely thin.

Key remaining games

Writers consistently highlight upcoming matchups with the Seahawks, 49ers, Jaguars, and Texans as decisive, since those opponents are either playoff- caliber or direct rivals in the AFC South race. Beating both Jacksonville and Houston down the stretch is repeatedly described as “what matters” most for keeping realistic hopes alive, especially when tiebreakers come into play.

Injury and roster context

The Colts’ situation is complicated by quarterback injuries, with reports noting that Daniel Jones and Anthony Richardson are out for the year and that the team has even turned to Philip Rivers to stabilize the position. Coverage frames the team as talented but inconsistent, suggesting that staying healthy and getting at least competent QB play is critical if they want to outperform their current sub-25% playoff odds.

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.