Punxsutawney Phil’s 2026 Groundhog Day prediction is six more weeks of winter, because he saw his shadow.

What does Punxsutawney Phil predict?

  • If Phil sees his shadow when he comes out of his burrow, legend says there will be six more weeks of winter.
  • If he does not see his shadow, it is said to mean an early spring is coming.

In 2026, Phil saw his shadow on February 2 in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, so the official call is six more weeks of winter. News reports and clips of the ceremony repeat that this year’s forecast is for winter to stick around a bit longer.

How accurate is Phil really?

  • Analyses of his past forecasts suggest his long‑term accuracy is roughly around one‑third to a bit over one‑third, well below professional meteorological standards.
  • Weather services and climate experts emphasize that Phil is a fun tradition, not a reliable forecasting system, especially in a warming climate where winters are changing.

So, when people search for “what does Punxsutawney Phil predict,” for 2026 the answer is: six more weeks of winter—though it’s best taken as folklore rather than a serious forecast.

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.