For the 2026 World Cup, the most likely semifinal teams are Argentina, France, Spain, and England based on current odds and expert previews. A second-tier group of realistic challengers includes Brazil, Morocco, Portugal, and the USA.

Why these teams

  • Argentina and France are the top favorites to reach the semifinals.
  • Spain and England are also rated strongly, just behind the top two.
  • Brazil , Morocco , Portugal , and USA are the next most plausible semifinal contenders.

Simple forecast

  1. Argentina.
  2. France.
  3. Spain.
  4. England.

That said, knockout tournaments are volatile, so an upset by Brazil, Portugal, Morocco, or the USA would not be surprising.

Team| Semifinal outlook
---|---
Argentina| Top favorite 1
France| Top favorite 1
Spain| Strong contender 1
England| Strong contender 1
Brazil| Next tier 1
Morocco| Next tier 1
Portugal| Next tier 1
USA| Next tier 1

TL;DR: the cleanest guess is Argentina, France, Spain, and England.