Norway were a clear underdog: the pre-match line had them at about +360 to win in regulation, which works out to an implied win chance of roughly 22%. Brazil were favored at around -125 in 90 minutes, while Brazil to advance was priced near -280 and Norway to advance around +220.

Quick Scoop

  • Norway win in regulation: about +360 odds.
  • Implied chance: roughly 22% before adjusting for bookmaker margin.
  • Brazil to advance: around 70% implied by some previews.

What that means

Those odds say bookmakers expected Brazil to be the more likely winner, but Norway still had a real upset path. The market also reflected that this was a knockout match, so “to advance” was more favorable for Brazil than the 90-minute moneyline suggested.

Simple read

  • Norway beating Brazil was viewed as a surprise, not a shock impossible result.
  • The spread between the teams was meaningful, but not huge enough to rule out an upset.
MarketOddsImplied view
Norway to win in 90 minutes+360About 22% chance
Brazil to win in 90 minutes-130 to -125Favored
Norway to advance+220Underdog, but live
Brazil to advance-280 to -270Strong favorite
By the way, the actual match ended as a Norway upset, with Norway winning 2-1.