Wheat looks slightly higher to firmer , while soybeans are more mixed but have had upside support recently. Based on the latest market commentary, wheat futures closed mostly higher on June 25, 2026, and soybeans rallied on dry- weather concerns, though the broader trend can still swing quickly with weather and USDA updates.

Wheat

Wheat has been getting some support from late-session strength and a tighter weather-sensitive narrative. Recent market notes also show wheat price estimates being nudged higher by USDA, with a season-average farm price around $5 per bushel and officials expecting a seasonal rise ahead.

Soybeans

Soybeans have been more volatile, but recent commentary shows a solid rally tied to drier start-of-July conditions. USDA also raised its soybean season- average price estimate to about $10.30 a bushel, which points to a mildly constructive outlook rather than a sharp drop.

What could move them

  • Weather in the U.S. and South America.
  • Export demand and shipping pace.
  • USDA supply-and-demand updates.
  • Planting and harvest progress.

Near-term read

If the weather stays stressful for crops, both wheat and soybeans can keep grinding higher. If conditions improve and supply expectations build, wheat may soften first, while soybeans could remain relatively supported if dryness persists.

Table

[5][8] [8][5]
CropNear-term directionWhy
WheatSlightly upward / firmRecent strength in futures and higher USDA price outlook
SoybeansMixed, with upside biasDry-weather rally and higher USDA price outlook
The short version: wheat is leaning firmer, and soybeans are leaning constructive but choppier.