The consensus going into Super Bowl 60 (played in February 2026) is that the Seattle Seahawks are expected to win, but it’s not a guarantee.

Who is expected to win the Super Bowl 2026?

  • Sportsbooks have the Seahawks as clear favorites over the New England Patriots, with lines around Seahawks −4.5-4.5−4.5 and a moneyline edge for Seattle.
  • Betting markets had already shifted toward Seattle after their NFC title win, reflecting stronger overall team metrics and public confidence.
  • Many national NFL expert panels and staff prediction pieces show a strong lean toward Seattle, with a large majority picking the Seahawks to lift the Lombardi Trophy.

In short: Seattle Seahawks are widely expected to win Super Bowl 60 over the New England Patriots , but analysts consistently note that the Patriots’ defense keeps this from being a foregone conclusion.

Why the Seahawks are favored

  • Stronger advanced metrics: Seattle has been highlighted for superior defensive efficiency (EPA, pressure rate), giving them an edge against New England’s young QB Drake Maye.
  • Market movement: Even when New England briefly became the betting favorite just after their AFC Championship win, odds quickly swung back to Seattle, signaling deeper confidence in the Seahawks’ roster and form.
  • Expert sentiment: Major outlets’ prediction roundups show most writers and analysts siding with Seattle, often citing their balance on both sides of the ball.

Example: One staff poll had roughly 78% of voters picking Seattle over New England, reinforcing the idea that, on paper, Seattle is the better all‑around team.

Case for a Patriots upset

Even with the Seahawks favored, there is a real path for the Patriots:

  • Elite defense: New England’s playoff run has featured very low points allowed, including holding the Broncos to only 7 points in the AFC Championship Game.
  • Coaching and game planning: Analysts point out that with a defensive‑oriented head coach and a scheme that limits big plays, the Patriots can drag the game into a low‑scoring, one‑possession battle.
  • Quarterback volatility: A hot game from Drake Maye, or a mistake‑filled outing from Seattle’s offense, could flip the script despite the pregame odds.

Some forum and fan discussions even lean into the idea that “if Vegas loves the Seahawks, that’s exactly why the Patriots will spoil it,” reflecting the classic contrarian fan mentality around big favorites.

What betting and models are saying

  • Sportsbooks:
    • Spread hovering around Seahawks −4.5-4.5−4.5.
* Moneyline implying Seattle as a clear but not overwhelming favorite.
  • Analytic models and previews:
    • Season‑long power ratings and playoff simulations typically place Seattle with a higher win probability than New England, largely due to depth and fewer injury concerns.
  • Media/AI predictions:
    • Multiple national prediction pieces and even other AI systems tested by media outlets select Seattle to win and often project Sam Darnold as a leading MVP candidate.

Mini FAQ

Q: So, who is most likely to win the 2026 Super Bowl?
A: The Seattle Seahawks are the favorites according to betting odds, expert predictions, and analytic previews.

Q: Is it guaranteed the Seahawks win?
A: No. The Patriots’ defense and coaching give them a realistic upset chance, especially if they can keep the score low and force turnovers.

Q: Who’s a popular MVP pick?
A: Sam Darnold, the Seahawks’ quarterback, is frequently mentioned as a top MVP favorite if Seattle wins.

TL;DR:
If you’re asking “who is expected to win the Super Bowl 2026,” the answer is: the Seattle Seahawks are favored over the New England Patriots by sportsbooks, experts, and most prediction models , though a Patriots upset is very much in play.

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.