There’s no way to know for sure who is going to win the Super Bowl, but most advanced models and experts right now lean toward the Seattle Seahawks over the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX.

Where things stand right now

  • The matchup is Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX.
  • Oddsmakers have Seattle as a modest favorite (around Seahawks -4.5 on the spread, with a clear edge on the moneyline).
  • Many national analysts and prediction models give Seattle roughly a 55–60% chance to win, not an overwhelming lock but a solid favorite.

What the numbers and experts say

  • ESPN’s Football Power Index gives the Seahawks just under a 60% win probability and projects them to win by about a field goal to four points on average.
  • Betting markets mirror that view: a -4.5 spread for Seattle and a moneyline around -238 indicate that sportsbooks see them as clearly more likely to win than New England.
  • CBS and NFL.com expert panels mostly pick Seattle, with multiple predicted scores in the low-to-mid 20s for Seattle and teens/low 20s for the Patriots.

Example expert score predictions

  • Seahawks 27, Patriots 17 (a common expert prediction cited by ESPN’s panel).
  • Seahawks 20, Patriots 13 and Seahawks 23, Patriots 16 from CBS analysts.
  • Seahawks 28, Patriots 24 from NFL.com’s preview.

In other words, the consensus is Seattle by one score, not a blowout.

Why people like the Seahawks

  • Elite defense: Seattle is rated as one of, if not the, top defenses in the league this season, which is a big reason analytics models favor them.
  • Balanced offense: Sam Darnold has been playing efficiently with weapons like Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III, giving Seattle enough offensive punch to complement the defense.
  • Matchup vs. a young QB: Many breakdowns point to Seattle’s defense being well-suited to make life hard for Patriots rookie QB Drake Maye, especially in the second half as adjustments kick in.

Why the Patriots still have a real shot

  • Underdog trend: Recent Super Bowls have seen underdogs win outright and consistently cover the spread, which some analysts cite as a reason to back New England plus the points.
  • Tough, defense-first identity: New England’s defense is solid, and if they can drag the game into a low-scoring slugfest, one or two key plays could flip the outcome.
  • “Road warrior” mentality: The Patriots just went into Denver and won a grinding 10–7 AFC title game in bad weather, reinforcing the idea they can survive ugly, close contests.

Forum and fan discussion vibes

Public and forum discussions echo this split:

  • Analytics-focused and betting-focused fans tend to say “Seahawks should win, they’re clearly better on paper.”
  • Others lean into storylines like “never count out an underdog with a good defense and a young QB who gets hot at the right time,” keeping hope alive for the Patriots.

So if your question is “who is going to win the Super Bowl,” the most honest, data-based answer is: the Seattle Seahawks are more likely to win, but it’s far from guaranteed, and the Patriots are a live underdog.

Bottom note: Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.