Right now, no team is a lock to win the next Super Bowl, but betting markets and expert previews consistently lean toward a small tier of favorites rather than one clear “most likely” winner.

Current favorites

Sportsbooks and preseason forecasts typically group a few teams at the top instead of naming a single runaway favorite. As of the latest 2025–26 lookaheads, teams most often mentioned in that top tier include:

  • Buffalo Bills, driven by an MVP‑caliber Josh Allen and a deep roster.
  • Usual contenders like the Kansas City Chiefs, who remain priced near the top of Super Bowl futures because of Patrick Mahomes and sustained success.
  • NFC powers such as the Philadelphia Eagles or similar high-upside rosters, which feature frequently in expert matchup picks.

These teams are not guarantees; they are simply rated as having better odds than the rest of the league.

What “likely to win” actually means

When people ask “who is likely to win the Super Bowl,” they are usually referring to:

  • Betting odds : Futures markets assign implied probabilities to each team, but even the favorite often sits in the 10–20% range, meaning it is still more likely that someone else wins.
  • Expert predictions : Articles and TV panels make educated guesses based on roster strength, schedule, and past performance, but those picks regularly miss because of injuries and randomness.
  • Fan sentiment and forums : Reddit threads and fan discussions show hype cycles, but these are more about narrative than reliable probability.

So even if a team is “most likely,” the NFL is volatile enough that upsets are extremely common.

Sample expert view

To give a flavor of current discussion:

  • One national NFL columnist has gone on record predicting that the Bills will finally win the Super Bowl , citing Allen’s peak form, defensive reinforcements, and a favorable schedule.
  • A FOX Sports prediction piece has a Bills vs. Eagles Super Bowl, with Buffalo edging out Philadelphia by a single point.

Those are prominent takes, but other analysts back different AFC or NFC powers, showing there is no universal favorite.

Why you should be cautious (especially with bets)

If you are thinking about betting based on “who is likely to win”:

  1. Super Bowl futures prices already bake in public hype and expert opinion, so obvious favorites are rarely “good value.”
  1. Predictive AI models and fan-made tools can be fun to explore, but even their creators emphasize that they should not be used as standalone betting systems and can be wildly inaccurate with limited data.
  1. Small injuries, weather, or one bad game in January can flip an entire playoff picture, which no preseason prediction can fully capture.

Bottom line

  • There is no certain answer to “who is likely to win the Super Bowl,” only teams with relatively better odds.
  • Right now, the Bills, Chiefs, and one or two top NFC teams are generally treated as the leading contenders, with Buffalo often singled out in bold prediction pieces.
  • Any pick should be treated as speculative entertainment, not as guaranteed foresight or sure-fire betting advice.

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.