The most likely last-place team in MLB 2026 is the Colorado Rockies. A preseason projection from MLB.com also picked the Rockies to finish last in the NL West, and another 2026 preview singled them out as the most likely basement team in the division.

Why the Rockies

  • They were already projected near the bottom in 2026 previews, with the NL West race expected to be centered on the Dodgers, Giants, Diamondbacks, and Padres.
  • The Rockies were specifically described as the weakest team in that division outlook, even though they had made some changes.
  • A separate 2026 “last place teams” article also treated Colorado as one of the clearest candidates for the bottom spot.

Caveat

This is still a prediction, not a result, and MLB standings can swing a lot over a full season. The official MLB standings page shows the season is still in progress, so the answer can change.

TL;DR: Rockies are the best early pick for last place in 2026.