Belgium vs USA looks close, but the USA is a slight favorite in current odds, so I’d lean USA by a narrow margin. Still, several previews call it basically a pick’em, which means Belgium winning would not be a surprise at all.

Quick read

  • Slight edge: USA.
  • Best guess: USA 1-0 or 2-1.
  • Upset risk: High, because the matchup is being priced very tightly.

Why the USA edge

The latest betting market gives the U.S. a small advantage in quarterfinal qualification, and some outlets report the Americans opened as slight favorites. The game is also at Lumen Field in Seattle, which gives the USA a home-field-style boost.

Why Belgium can still win

Belgium is experienced and multiple previews still treat this as a true toss- up. One published prediction even has Belgium winning 2-1, which shows how evenly matched this feels.

My call

If you want a single answer, I’d pick USA — but only barely.

Most likely score: USA 2-1 Belgium or USA 1-0 Belgium.

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