No one can now predict who will win the Bihar election 2025 because the results are already known: the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) has won a clear, landslide victory and retained power in the state.

Quick Scoop

  • The NDA , led by Nitish Kumar with the BJP and JD(U) as key partners, secured a strong majority in the 243‑member Bihar Assembly.
  • Most major exit polls before counting had already indicated an NDA sweep, projecting it well above the majority mark and keeping the Mahagathbandhan under 100 seats.
  • The opposition Mahagathbandhan (RJD‑Congress‑Left) performed significantly below its 2020 tally, with RJD falling to less than half of its earlier seats, leaving it unable to challenge the NDA’s claim to government.

What actually happened in 2025?

  • Voting took place in early November 2025, and counting later confirmed that the NDA would form the government, matching the broad direction of exit polls that had forecast 130–170+ seats for the alliance.
  • Reports described the result as a “landslide win” for the NDA, crediting caste arithmetic and an unexpectedly strong pro‑Nitish wave across regions.

How close were the predictions?

  • Multiple media exit polls (CNX, People’s Insight, People’s Pulse, Matrize, Vote Vibe and others) consistently showed NDA comfortably crossing the majority, often giving Mahagathbandhan only 70–115 seats.
  • A few polls nuanced the picture by suggesting RJD could emerge as the single largest party in seat count, but still within a scenario where the NDA bloc as a whole remained ahead and poised to govern.

Forum and “who will win” chatter

  • Before the election, public‑forum discussions about “who will win Bihar election 2025” often debated whether anti‑incumbency, youth anger and newer players like Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj could trouble the NDA, but most users remained sceptical that social‑media buzz alone could overturn ground‑level organisation.
  • In hindsight, those debates now read like early speculation, because the final numbers showed limited impact from new entrants and reaffirmed the centrality of established alliances in Bihar politics.

Bottom note

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.