If Uruguay beats Spain, Uruguay almost certainly advances to the Round of 32 from Group H, and Spain would still likely go through depending on the other Group H result and tiebreakers.

What it means

  • A Uruguay win sends them through regardless of what happens in the other match.
  • Spain would likely still qualify, but their exact place in the group would depend on the full set of results and goal-difference/tiebreak rules.
  • If Cape Verde also gets a result, the final table can come down to tiebreakers, especially goals scored or goal difference.

Simple version

  • Uruguay wins: Uruguay is in the knockout round.
  • Spain loses: Spain may still advance, but not as comfortably and possibly not as group winner.
  • Other match matters: Group H is still live, so the second game can change who finishes first or second.

One-line takeaway

A Uruguay win likely means Uruguay advances and Spain’s path gets a lot less certain , with the final standings depending on the other Group H match and tiebreakers.