No one can say with certainty who will win the Farmers Insurance Open, but we can talk about who the favorites and smart picks look like right now.

Quick Scoop

  • Betting markets have Xander Schauffele, Ludvig Åberg, and Patrick Cantlay clustered near the top of the odds boards for the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open, reflecting strong expectations for all three at Torrey Pines.
  • Several previews and betting models highlight Collin Morikawa as a popular “value” or outright prediction pick thanks to his precision iron play and temperament, which tends to fit Torrey’s demanding layout.
  • Defending champion Harris English is priced deeper in the odds, suggesting markets see him as a dangerous outsider rather than a front-line favorite to repeat.

So, if you’re asking “who will win Farmers Insurance Open,” the honest answer is that it’s unknowable, but the most likely contenders by market and expert sentiment are:

  • Xander Schauffele (shortest odds, local/hometown angle, elite current form).
  • Ludvig Åberg (rising star, long and accurate, near the very top of every odds list).
  • Patrick Cantlay (model favorite and “core outright” in at least one simulation-based preview).
  • Collin Morikawa (explicitly tipped by at least one detailed preview as the pick to win the whole event).

How people are talking about it online

  • Betting previews emphasize that Torrey Pines rewards patience, accuracy into greens, and mental toughness more than pure distance, which is why ball-strikers like Morikawa get a lot of love even if they’re not the very shortest price.
  • Odds lists from major books and media sites consistently show a tight cluster at the top, reinforcing the idea that this is a “tier of favorites” event rather than one clear runaway pick.
  • Discussion around defending champs like Harris English usually frames them as live but volatile options: the number shows he’s respected, but not expected, to go back-to-back.

A simple way to think about it

If you want one name to ride with based on expert previews rather than just the shortest odds, Collin Morikawa is a trendy prediction pick. One major preview outright recommends backing him to win the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open because his controlled, calculated style is seen as ideal for grinding out four rounds at Torrey Pines.

TL;DR: Markets lean to Schauffele, Åberg, and Cantlay, but one of the bolder prediction calls out there is Collin Morikawa as the answer to “who will win Farmers Insurance Open.”

Information gathered from public forums or data available on the internet and portrayed here.